cbb·system

North Florida Ospreys

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.33 possessions per game 4.84

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Florida AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 59.40 to 83.44 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Florida auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-08 2018 North Florida @ Jacksonville 77–83 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 North Florida @ Stetson 63–55 conf_tournament
2018-02-24 2018 North Florida @ Jacksonville 43–64 regular
2018-02-20 2018 South Carolina Upstate @ North Florida 61–79 regular
2018-02-17 2018 NJIT @ North Florida 66–62 regular
2018-02-13 2018 North Florida @ Kennesaw State 68–44 regular
2018-02-10 2018 North Florida @ Lipscomb 57–78 regular
2018-02-07 2018 North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast 52–67 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Stetson @ North Florida 68–51 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida 73–75 regular
2018-01-27 2018 North Florida @ Stetson 55–68 regular
2018-01-23 2018 North Florida @ NJIT 65–75 regular
2018-01-20 2018 North Florida @ South Carolina Upstate 65–61 regular
2018-01-16 2018 Lipscomb @ North Florida 73–69 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Kennesaw State @ North Florida 72–77 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Jacksonville @ North Florida 66–48 regular
2018-01-01 2018 North Florida @ Wofford 57–69 regular
2017-12-28 2018 North Florida @ Georgia 37–75 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Edward Waters @ North Florida 47–73 non_d1
2017-12-19 2018 Northern Kentucky @ North Florida 50–58 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Charleston @ North Florida 73–69 regular
2017-12-13 2018 North Florida @ Michigan 34–79 regular
2017-12-10 2018 North Florida @ Florida A&M 77–68 regular
2017-12-03 2018 North Florida @ Florida Atlantic 75–83 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Bethune-Cookman @ North Florida 63–70 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Monmouth @ North Florida N 67–57 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Webber International @ North Florida N 53–81 non_d1
2017-11-19 2018 North Florida @ West Virginia 59–87 regular
2017-11-17 2018 North Florida @ Morehead State 61–56 regular
2017-11-13 2018 Warner @ North Florida 38–74 non_d1
2017-11-11 2018 North Florida @ Florida State 51–109 regular