cbb·system

Mississippi State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.25 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.86 possessions per game 4.41

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mississippi State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.35 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015277 0.794

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMississippi State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-22 2015 Mississippi State @ Duke N 56–64 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-20 2015 Tulane @ Mississippi State N 47–57 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Kentucky @ Mississippi State N 76–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Ole Miss @ Mississippi State 47–55 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Mississippi State @ South Carolina 50–69 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Mississippi State @ Alabama 57–55 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Florida @ Mississippi State 62–75 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 90–92 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 61–63 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Mississippi State @ Tennessee 67–79 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State 44–69 regular
2015-01-27 2015 Mississippi State @ Auburn 59–48 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 64–62 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Alabama @ Mississippi State 50–66 regular
2015-01-16 2015 LSU @ Mississippi State 71–69 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt 62–78 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Arkansas @ Mississippi State 57–72 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Mississippi State @ Missouri 53–47 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Georgia @ Mississippi State 56–64 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi State 26–83 regular
2014-12-22 2015 Miami (OH) @ Mississippi State N 42–68 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Mississippi State @ UIC N 73–36 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Mississippi State @ Louisiana 66–51 regular
2014-12-16 2015 Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State 41–104 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Mississippi State @ Southern Miss 73–46 regular
2014-12-12 2015 Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State 77–81 regular
2014-12-07 2015 SE Louisiana @ Mississippi State 36–97 regular
2014-12-03 2015 North Dakota State @ Mississippi State 58–109 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Mississippi State @ LSU New Orleans 85–45 regular
2014-11-26 2015 UL Monroe @ Mississippi State 46–80 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Western Kentucky @ Mississippi State 77–88 regular
2014-11-21 2015 West Virginia @ Mississippi State 61–74 regular
2014-11-17 2015 Arkansas State @ Mississippi State 83–93 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Mercer @ Mississippi State 66–97 regular