cbb·system

Mississippi State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.17
PACE 70.04 possessions per game 4.82

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mississippi State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 59.04 to 155.01 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142214 0.611

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMississippi State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-30 2014 South Florida @ Mississippi State 60–58 other_postseason
2014-03-28 2014 Auburn @ Mississippi State 54–59 other_postseason
2014-03-25 2014 Southern Miss @ Mississippi State 66–74 other_postseason
2014-03-21 2014 Tulane @ Mississippi State 68–77 other_postseason
2014-03-06 2014 Mississippi State @ Florida N 67–71 conf_tournament
2014-03-05 2014 Mississippi State @ Missouri N 73–70 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Mississippi State @ Georgia 48–77 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 81–74 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Ole Miss @ Mississippi State 70–72 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Mississippi State @ Alabama 64–72 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State 62–64 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Mississippi State @ Auburn 43–51 regular
2014-02-07 2014 South Carolina @ Mississippi State 71–64 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Georgia @ Mississippi State 67–80 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Mississippi State @ LSU 56–65 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Missouri @ Mississippi State 62–69 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 85–87 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 35–73 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Tennessee @ Mississippi State 67–63 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Mississippi State @ Arkansas 54–50 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Auburn @ Mississippi State 82–74 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Mississippi State @ Florida 72–82 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State 58–98 regular
2013-12-21 2014 SE Louisiana @ Mississippi State 57–109 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Mississippi State @ North Dakota State 72–62 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Southern Miss @ Mississippi State 61–71 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Alabama State @ Mississippi State 49–75 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Louisiana @ Mississippi State 51–78 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Mississippi State @ Middle Tennessee N 48–62 regular
2013-12-01 2014 James Madison @ Mississippi State N 52–65 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Grand Canyon @ Mississippi State N 62–71 regular
2013-11-27 2014 Savannah State @ Mississippi State 63–81 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Mississippi State 45–90 regular
2013-11-17 2014 LSU New Orleans @ Mississippi State 38–111 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Jackson State @ Mississippi State 42–81 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Mississippi State @ Houston 76–68 regular