cbb·system

Chattanooga Mocs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 62.41 possessions per game 5.20

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chattanooga AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.68 to 1.24 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbChattanooga auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-15 2018 Chattanooga @ UAB 50–60 other_postseason
2018-03-01 2018 UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga N 70–66 conf_tournament
2018-02-24 2018 Chattanooga @ Samford 71–65 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Chattanooga @ Mercer 56–65 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Wofford @ Chattanooga 46–76 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Furman @ Chattanooga 50–45 regular
2018-02-10 2018 East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga 61–55 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro 73–57 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 58–41 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Mercer @ Chattanooga 71–50 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Samford @ Chattanooga 58–68 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Chattanooga @ Furman 57–58 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Chattanooga @ Wofford 54–47 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State 58–65 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 32–47 regular
2018-01-04 2018 UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga 42–49 regular
2017-12-28 2018 Hampton @ Chattanooga 52–64 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Princeton @ Chattanooga N 59–49 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Chattanooga @ Florida 65–60 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Florida Gulf Coast @ Chattanooga 61–68 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Virginia Tech @ Chattanooga 64–44 regular
2017-12-02 2018 UT Martin @ Chattanooga 82–87 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Auburn @ Chattanooga N 41–50 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Chattanooga @ Georgetown N 54–41 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Northwestern @ Chattanooga N 44–61 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Chattanooga @ Indiana 64–61 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Presbyterian @ Chattanooga 51–71 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Chattanooga @ Stetson 67–78 regular
2017-11-13 2018 UCF @ Chattanooga 58–57 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Chattanooga @ Green Bay 30–60 regular