cbb·system

Indiana State Sycamores

mens MVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.79 possessions per game 4.22

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Indiana State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.38 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232313 0.639

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIndiana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-20 2023 Indiana State @ Eastern Kentucky N 88–89 other_postseason
2023-03-18 2023 Indiana State @ South Carolina Upstate N 67–62 other_postseason
2023-03-04 2023 Indiana State @ Bradley N 70–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Indiana State @ Belmont N 94–91 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Evansville @ Indiana State N 58–97 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Missouri State @ Indiana State 66–62 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Indiana State @ Belmont 88–89 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Illinois State @ Indiana State 64–80 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Indiana State @ UIC 79–60 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 80–62 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Valparaiso @ Indiana State 62–84 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Murray State @ Indiana State 56–99 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Indiana State @ Evansville 83–65 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 71–79 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Indiana State @ Drake 68–70 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Indiana State @ Murray State 73–82 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Bradley @ Indiana State 78–67 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Indiana State @ Missouri State 62–64 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Southern Illinois @ Indiana State 69–61 regular
2023-01-07 2023 UIC @ Indiana State 60–80 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Indiana State @ Illinois State 76–67 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Indiana State @ Valparaiso 68–50 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Evansville @ Indiana State 63–91 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Northern Illinois @ Indiana State 67–57 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Indiana State @ Duquesne 86–92 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Indiana State @ Southern Indiana 85–88 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Indiana State @ Southern Illinois 74–71 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Indiana State @ Miami (OH) 88–61 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Drake @ Indiana State 73–75 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Trinity Christian (IL) @ Indiana State 68–105 non_d1
2022-11-23 2023 Drexel @ Indiana State N 81–85 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Indiana State @ Kansas City N 61–63 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Indiana State @ East Carolina N 79–75 regular
2022-11-18 2023 North Dakota State @ Indiana State 75–101 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Ball State @ Indiana State 71–83 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Green Bay @ Indiana State 53–80 regular