Illinois Fighting Illini
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#4 Round of 32 (out) 2022
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.17 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.25 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.17 | possessions per game | 4.55 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 0.61 to 1.23 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | 10 | 0.697 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-20 | 2022 | Houston @ Illinois N | 68–53 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-18 | 2022 | Chattanooga @ Illinois N | 53–54 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-11 | 2022 | Indiana @ Illinois N | 65–63 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-07 | 2022 | Iowa @ Illinois | 72–74 | regular |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Penn State @ Illinois | 55–60 | regular |
| 2022-02-27 | 2022 | Illinois @ Michigan | 93–85 | regular |
| 2022-02-25 | 2022 | Ohio State @ Illinois | 86–83 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 79–74 | regular |
| 2022-02-17 | 2022 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 59–70 | regular |
| 2022-02-13 | 2022 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 66–73 | regular |
| 2022-02-09 | 2022 | Illinois @ Purdue | 68–84 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Illinois @ Indiana | 74–57 | regular |
| 2022-02-03 | 2022 | Wisconsin @ Illinois | 67–80 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 59–56 | regular |
| 2022-01-26 | 2022 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 55–56 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Illinois @ Maryland | 65–81 | regular |
| 2022-01-17 | 2022 | Purdue @ Illinois | 96–88 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | Michigan @ Illinois | 53–68 | regular |
| 2022-01-12 | 2022 | Illinois @ Nebraska | 81–71 | regular |
| 2022-01-07 | 2022 | Maryland @ Illinois | 64–76 | regular |
| 2022-01-05 | 2022 | Illinois @ Minnesota | 76–53 | regular |
| 2021-12-30 | 2022 | Florida A&M @ Illinois | canceled | regular |
| 2021-12-23 | 2022 | Missouri @ Illinois N | 63–88 | regular |
| 2021-12-18 | 2022 | St. Francis (PA) @ Illinois | 48–106 | regular |
| 2021-12-11 | 2022 | Arizona @ Illinois | 83–79 | regular |
| 2021-12-07 | 2022 | Illinois @ Iowa | 87–83 | regular |
| 2021-12-04 | 2022 | Rutgers @ Illinois | 51–86 | regular |
| 2021-11-30 | 2022 | Notre Dame @ Illinois | 72–82 | regular |
| 2021-11-27 | 2022 | UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois | 85–94 | regular |
| 2021-11-24 | 2022 | Illinois @ Kansas State N | 72–64 | regular |
| 2021-11-22 | 2022 | Illinois @ Cincinnati N | 51–71 | regular |
| 2021-11-16 | 2022 | Illinois @ Marquette | 66–67 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Illinois | 53–92 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Jackson State @ Illinois | 47–71 | regular |