Illinois Fighting Illini
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#3 Elite 8 (out) 2024
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.28 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.26 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.34 | possessions per game | 4.40 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 38 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.58 to 1.29 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | 9 | 0.763 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-30 | 2024 | Illinois @ UConn N | 52–77 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-29 | 2024 | Illinois @ Iowa State N | 72–69 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-24 | 2024 | Duquesne @ Illinois N | 63–89 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-21 | 2024 | Morehead State @ Illinois N | 69–85 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-17 | 2024 | Wisconsin @ Illinois N | 87–93 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-16 | 2024 | Nebraska @ Illinois N | 87–98 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-15 | 2024 | Ohio State @ Illinois N | 74–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-10 | 2024 | Illinois @ Iowa | 73–61 | regular |
| 2024-03-06 | 2024 | Purdue @ Illinois | 77–71 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Illinois @ Wisconsin | 91–83 | regular |
| 2024-02-29 | 2024 | Minnesota @ Illinois | 97–105 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Iowa @ Illinois | 85–95 | regular |
| 2024-02-21 | 2024 | Illinois @ Penn State | 89–90 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Illinois @ Maryland | 85–80 | regular |
| 2024-02-14 | 2024 | Michigan @ Illinois | 68–97 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 80–88 | regular |
| 2024-02-04 | 2024 | Nebraska @ Illinois | 84–87 | regular |
| 2024-01-31 | 2024 | Illinois @ Ohio State | 87–75 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Indiana @ Illinois | 62–70 | regular |
| 2024-01-25 | 2024 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 91–96 | regular |
| 2024-01-21 | 2024 | Rutgers @ Illinois | 63–86 | regular |
| 2024-01-19 | 2024 | Illinois @ Michigan | 88–73 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Maryland @ Illinois | 76–67 | regular |
| 2024-01-12 | 2024 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 68–71 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Illinois @ Purdue | 78–83 | regular |
| 2024-01-03 | 2024 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 66–96 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Fairleigh Dickinson @ Illinois | 71–104 | regular |
| 2023-12-23 | 2024 | Missouri @ Illinois N | 73–97 | regular |
| 2023-12-17 | 2024 | Colgate @ Illinois | 57–74 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Illinois @ Tennessee | 79–86 | regular |
| 2023-12-05 | 2024 | Florida Atlantic @ Illinois N | 89–98 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 76–58 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | Western Illinois @ Illinois | 52–84 | regular |
| 2023-11-20 | 2024 | Southern @ Illinois | 60–88 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | Valparaiso @ Illinois | 64–87 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Marquette @ Illinois | 71–64 | regular |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Oakland @ Illinois | 53–64 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois | 52–80 | regular |