Illinois Fighting Illini
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#1 Round of 32 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.75 | points per possession | 0.49 |
| DE | 0.64 | points per possession | 0.51 |
| ME | 0.12 | points per possession | 0.71 |
| PACE | 71.08 | possessions per game | 4.55 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-06 01:20),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.46 to 2.00 over
66 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | 7 | 0.774 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-21 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois N | 71–58 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-19 | 2021 | Drexel @ Illinois N | 49–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-14 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Illinois N | 88–91 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-13 | 2021 | Iowa @ Illinois N | 71–82 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Illinois N | 68–90 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Illinois @ Ohio State | 73–68 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan | 76–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Illinois @ Wisconsin | 74–69 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Illinois | 70–86 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 72–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Illinois @ Minnesota | 94–63 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 66–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Illinois @ Nebraska | 77–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Illinois | 60–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-03 | 2021 | Illinois @ Indiana | 75–71 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Iowa @ Illinois | 75–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | Penn State @ Illinois | 65–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Illinois | 87–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-14 | 2021 | Illinois @ Nebraska | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-11 | 2021 | Maryland @ Illinois | 66–63 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 81–56 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Purdue @ Illinois | 58–66 | regular |
| 2020-12-26 | 2021 | Indiana @ Illinois | 60–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | Illinois @ Penn State | 98–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 88–91 | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | Minnesota @ Illinois | 65–92 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Illinois @ Missouri | 78–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Illinois @ Duke | 83–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | UT Martin @ Illinois | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Illinois @ Baylor N | 69–82 | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Ohio @ Illinois | 75–77 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Chicago State @ Illinois | 38–97 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | North Carolina A&T @ Illinois | 60–122 | regular |