Illinois Fighting Illini
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#3 Final Four (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.36 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.39 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.55 | possessions per game | 4.59 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 37 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 1.07 to 1.59 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 9 | 0.757 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | 2026 | Illinois @ UConn N | 62–71 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-28 | 2026 | Iowa @ Illinois N | 59–71 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026 | Illinois @ Houston N | 65–55 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026 | VCU @ Illinois N | 55–76 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026 | Pennsylvania @ Illinois N | 70–105 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Wisconsin @ Illinois N | 91–88 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Illinois @ Maryland | 78–72 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Oregon @ Illinois | 54–80 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Michigan @ Illinois | 84–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026 | Illinois @ UCLA | 94–95 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Illinois @ USC | 101–65 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | Indiana @ Illinois | 51–71 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | Wisconsin @ Illinois | 92–90 | regular |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 82–85 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 44–84 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | Illinois @ Nebraska | 78–69 | regular |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026 | Washington @ Illinois | 66–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Illinois @ Purdue | 88–82 | regular |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026 | Maryland @ Illinois | 70–89 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Minnesota @ Illinois | 67–77 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 79–68 | regular |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026 | Illinois @ Iowa | 75–69 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Rutgers @ Illinois | 55–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | Illinois @ Penn State | 73–65 | regular |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026 | Southern @ Illinois | 55–90 | regular |
| 2025-12-23 | 2026 | Missouri @ Illinois | 48–91 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Nebraska @ Illinois | 83–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-10 | 2026 | Illinois @ Ohio State | 88–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Illinois @ Tennessee | 75–62 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Illinois @ UConn N | 61–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois | 73–87 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Long Island University @ Illinois | 58–98 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Alabama @ Illinois N | 90–86 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Colgate @ Illinois | 65–84 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Texas Tech @ Illinois | 77–81 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Florida Gulf Coast @ Illinois | 70–113 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Jackson State @ Illinois | 55–113 | regular |