cbb·system

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.16
PACE 68.66 possessions per game 4.85

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Wilmington AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.58 to 1.15 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014527 0.156

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Wilmington auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-14 2014 UNC Wilmington @ James Madison N 56–69 conf_tournament
2014-03-13 2014 UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary N 67–65 conf_tournament
2014-03-06 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Charleston 77–85 regular
2014-02-28 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Drexel 45–56 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Towson @ UNC Wilmington 59–60 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Charleston @ UNC Wilmington 67–53 regular
2014-02-16 2014 UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary 44–97 regular
2014-02-15 2014 UNC Wilmington @ James Madison 43–92 regular
2014-02-14 2014 UNC Wilmington @ James Madison postponed regular
2014-02-09 2014 Drexel @ UNC Wilmington 57–43 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Delaware @ UNC Wilmington 70–50 regular
2014-02-02 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern 44–56 regular
2014-02-01 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Hofstra 43–55 regular
2014-01-26 2014 James Madison @ UNC Wilmington 77–41 regular
2014-01-24 2014 William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington 59–60 regular
2014-01-19 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Towson 54–53 regular
2014-01-18 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Delaware 44–65 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington 64–55 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington 64–50 regular
2014-01-03 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Charlotte 57–78 regular
2013-12-31 2014 App State @ UNC Wilmington 54–47 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Florida Atlantic @ UNC Wilmington 81–64 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Liberty @ UNC Wilmington 64–55 regular
2013-12-17 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Wake Forest 44–68 regular
2013-12-07 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Richmond 49–64 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Iowa @ UNC Wilmington N 102–65 regular
2013-11-30 2014 UNC Wilmington @ USC N 59–85 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Boston College @ UNC Wilmington N 75–54 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Tulane @ UNC Wilmington 55–50 regular
2013-11-19 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Campbell 53–67 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Northern Kentucky @ UNC Wilmington 62–65 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 75–64 regular
2013-11-09 2014 UNC Wilmington @ Notre Dame 50–99 regular