cbb·system

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.26 possessions per game 4.93

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Wilmington AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 52.90 to 79.15 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Wilmington auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-08 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Drexel N 41–71 conf_tournament
2018-03-07 2018 Towson @ UNC Wilmington N 47–58 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 58–49 regular
2018-03-02 2018 Towson @ UNC Wilmington 53–64 regular
2018-02-23 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Charleston 76–60 regular
2018-02-18 2018 UNC Wilmington @ James Madison 48–65 regular
2018-02-17 2018 UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary 64–49 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Drexel @ UNC Wilmington 58–40 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Charleston @ UNC Wilmington 72–63 regular
2018-02-04 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Hofstra 59–55 regular
2018-02-03 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern 39–56 regular
2018-01-28 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Delaware 62–80 regular
2018-01-21 2018 James Madison @ UNC Wilmington 63–48 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Delaware @ UNC Wilmington 82–49 regular
2018-01-14 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Drexel 42–68 regular
2018-01-13 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Towson 71–72 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington 69–61 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington 54–47 regular
2017-12-31 2018 William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington 66–53 regular
2017-12-30 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 67–75 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Georgia State @ UNC Wilmington 62–74 regular
2017-12-17 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Wofford 65–60 regular
2017-12-09 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Pittsburgh 55–74 regular
2017-12-03 2018 North Carolina Central @ UNC Wilmington 63–89 regular
2017-11-30 2018 VCU @ UNC Wilmington 67–83 regular
2017-11-26 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Furman 71–76 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Catawba @ UNC Wilmington 59–74 non_d1
2017-11-22 2018 UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina 60–86 regular
2017-11-18 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Coastal Carolina 41–57 regular
2017-11-16 2018 East Carolina @ UNC Wilmington 62–66 regular
2017-11-12 2018 UNC Pembroke @ UNC Wilmington 64–73 non_d1