cbb·system

Oregon @ Arizona State

2016-02-01 season 2016 regular final

Result

91 – 74

Home team is the second-named side; the score reads away–home.

What the model knew

Versionwalkforward-v5-smoothed-mens-min10
Train cutoff2016-01-31 06:00
Predicted at2016-01-31 11:00
Tip-off2016-02-01 01:30
Model spread-1.65 ± 11.65
Model total149.20 ± 15.37
P(home win)44.4%
Residual-15.35 (actual − model)

The cutoff precedes the prediction, which precedes tip-off — the DB-enforced no-leak ordering (train_cutoff_at ≤ made_at < commence_time).

Lines & edges

No pregame line is stored for this game, and the store holds no odds at all yet — the feed ingests forward, so this view fills in once lines land.