cbb·system

Arizona State @ California

2016-01-22 season 2016 regular final

Result

70 – 75

Home team is the second-named side; the score reads away–home.

What the model knew

Versionwalkforward-v5-smoothed-mens-min10
Train cutoff2016-01-21 04:00
Predicted at2016-01-21 11:00
Tip-off2016-01-22 02:00
Model spread5.85 ± 11.92
Model total141.76 ± 15.26
P(home win)68.8%
Residual-0.85 (actual − model)

The cutoff precedes the prediction, which precedes tip-off — the DB-enforced no-leak ordering (train_cutoff_at ≤ made_at < commence_time).

Lines & edges

No pregame line is stored for this game, and the store holds no odds at all yet — the feed ingests forward, so this view fills in once lines land.