cbb·system

UMBC @ Maine

2015-01-23 season 2015 regular final

Result

76 – 59

Home team is the second-named side; the score reads away–home.

What the model knew

Versionwalkforward-v5-smoothed-mens-min10
Train cutoff2015-01-22 04:10
Predicted at2015-01-22 11:00
Tip-off2015-01-23 01:00
Model spread0.63 ± 11.24
Model total127.61 ± 14.44
P(home win)52.2%
Residual-17.63 (actual − model)

The cutoff precedes the prediction, which precedes tip-off — the DB-enforced no-leak ordering (train_cutoff_at ≤ made_at < commence_time).

Lines & edges

No pregame line is stored for this game, and the store holds no odds at all yet — the feed ingests forward, so this view fills in once lines land.