cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.18 possessions per game 4.24

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.72 to 0.21 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025822 0.267

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-07 2025 Western Carolina @ Mercer N 66–67 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Western Carolina @ Mercer 69–81 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Wofford @ Western Carolina 90–67 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Western Carolina @ Samford 72–93 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 86–91 regular
2025-02-15 2025 The Citadel @ Western Carolina 73–76 regular
2025-02-12 2025 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 67–76 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 70–74 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Western Carolina @ Furman 75–84 regular
2025-02-01 2025 VMI @ Western Carolina 80–76 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 84–60 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Western Carolina @ The Citadel 80–78 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 58–85 regular
2025-01-18 2025 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 83–55 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Western Carolina @ VMI 50–66 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Mercer @ Western Carolina 82–85 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Western Carolina @ Wofford 69–77 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Samford @ Western Carolina 88–69 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Furman @ Western Carolina 90–61 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Milligan @ Western Carolina 69–78 non_d1
2024-12-18 2025 Western Carolina @ Tennessee 36–84 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville 61–78 regular
2024-12-07 2025 South Carolina Upstate @ Western Carolina 74–68 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Bellarmine @ Western Carolina 74–86 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Western Carolina @ Marquette 62–94 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Western Carolina @ Florida State 57–91 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Western Carolina @ Wake Forest 69–82 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Truett-McConnell @ Western Carolina 64–99 non_d1
2024-11-09 2025 Western Carolina @ Queens University 54–67 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Bob Jones @ Western Carolina 61–100 non_d1