East Tennessee State Bucs

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Ratings · 2018

Dimension	Value	Unit	σ
OE	0.93	points per possession	0.13
DE	0.90	points per possession	0.13
ME	0.04	points per possession	0.18
PACE	71.71	possessions per game	4.72

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.35 to 0.43 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

Season	W	L	Pct
2018	20	13	0.606

Season

Pct

2018

0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

Source	Name	Reviewed
espn_wbb	East Tennessee State	auto

Source

Name

Reviewed

espn_wbb

East Tennessee State

auto

Schedule & results

Date	S	Matchup	Score	Type
2018-03-15	2018	East Tennessee State @ James Madison	52–60	other_postseason
2018-03-04	2018	East Tennessee State @ Mercer N	53–68	conf_tournament
2018-03-02	2018	UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State N	52–54	conf_tournament
2018-03-01	2018	Wofford @ East Tennessee State N	64–78	conf_tournament
2018-02-24	2018	East Tennessee State @ Mercer	48–63	regular
2018-02-23	2018	East Tennessee State @ Samford	64–52	regular
2018-02-17	2018	Furman @ East Tennessee State	46–56	regular
2018-02-15	2018	Wofford @ East Tennessee State	53–82	regular
2018-02-10	2018	East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga	61–55	regular
2018-02-03	2018	East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina	76–46	regular
2018-02-01	2018	East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro	61–65	regular
2018-01-27	2018	Samford @ East Tennessee State	48–76	regular
2018-01-26	2018	Mercer @ East Tennessee State	85–65	regular
2018-01-20	2018	East Tennessee State @ Wofford	61–58	regular
2018-01-18	2018	East Tennessee State @ Furman	69–57	regular
2018-01-13	2018	Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State	58–65	regular
2018-01-06	2018	UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State	52–60	regular
2018-01-05	2018	Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State	50–66	regular
2017-12-29	2018	North Greenville @ East Tennessee State	67–90	non_d1
2017-12-22	2018	Northern Kentucky @ East Tennessee State	57–45	regular
2017-12-17	2018	Michigan State @ East Tennessee State	83–74	regular
2017-12-15	2018	East Tennessee State @ NC State	58–70	regular
2017-12-10	2018	East Tennessee State @ Houston	69–88	regular
2017-12-03	2018	East Tennessee State @ Winthrop	74–63	regular
2017-11-30	2018	East Tennessee State @ Murray State	96–68	regular
2017-11-26	2018	East Tennessee State @ Western Michigan N	79–87	regular
2017-11-25	2018	East Tennessee State @ Washington State N	76–80	regular
2017-11-25	2018	East Tennessee State @ Notre Dame N	46–77	regular
2017-11-19	2018	Duquesne @ East Tennessee State	77–81	regular
2017-11-18	2018	Tennessee Tech @ East Tennessee State	55–74	regular
2017-11-15	2018	East Tennessee State @ App State	70–57	regular
2017-11-12	2018	East Tennessee State @ Tennessee	49–87	regular
2017-11-11	2018	Cincinnati @ East Tennessee State	77–87	regular