cbb·system

Detroit Mercy Titans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.32 possessions per game 4.90

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Detroit Mercy AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.35 to 1.56 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019425 0.138

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDetroit Mercy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-02 2019 Northern Kentucky @ Detroit Mercy 81–63 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Wright State @ Detroit Mercy 76–73 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay 37–82 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee 34–59 regular
2019-02-16 2019 IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy 58–41 regular
2019-02-15 2019 UIC @ Detroit Mercy 45–62 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Oakland @ Detroit Mercy 76–65 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State 45–91 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State 51–67 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Wright State 59–78 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky 56–68 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy 62–44 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy 65–40 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Detroit Mercy @ UIC 42–36 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis 47–82 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Oakland 67–74 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy 67–49 regular
2018-12-28 2019 Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy 85–59 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Toledo 60–77 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Bowling Green 73–79 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Western Michigan @ Detroit Mercy 54–44 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Eastern Michigan 53–60 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Omaha @ Detroit Mercy 51–42 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Manhattan 58–56 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Michigan 62–95 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Miami (OH) @ Detroit Mercy 78–59 regular
2018-11-13 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Loyola Chicago 43–52 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Ohio State 41–55 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Michigan Dearborn @ Detroit Mercy 60–68 non_d1