cbb·system

Tarleton State Texans

mens UAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.30 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Tarleton State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.36 to 0.40 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242510 0.714

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTarleton State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-25 2024 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Tarleton State 73–72 other_postseason
2024-03-20 2024 Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State 59–86 other_postseason
2024-03-19 2024 Texas Southern @ Tarleton State 71–82 other_postseason
2024-03-16 2024 UT Arlington @ Tarleton State N 87–84 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Seattle U @ Tarleton State 66–69 regular
2024-03-08 2024 Utah Valley @ Tarleton State 63–60 regular
2024-03-03 2024 Tarleton State @ Southern Utah 88–83 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Tarleton State @ Utah Tech 85–74 regular
2024-02-24 2024 California Baptist @ Tarleton State 65–82 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State 74–77 regular
2024-02-16 2024 Tarleton State @ UT Arlington 80–78 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Tarleton State @ Seattle U 82–77 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Tarleton State @ Utah Valley 72–61 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Stephen F. Austin @ Tarleton State 64–75 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian 76–73 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Utah Tech @ Tarleton State 68–86 regular
2024-01-26 2024 Southern Utah @ Tarleton State 73–70 regular
2024-01-21 2024 Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 77–73 regular
2024-01-19 2024 Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State 71–79 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon 48–74 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Tarleton State @ California Baptist 63–77 regular
2024-01-05 2024 UT Arlington @ Tarleton State 76–78 regular
2023-12-30 2024 Tarleton State @ Loyola Marymount 79–66 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Tarleton State @ Tennessee 46–65 regular
2023-12-19 2024 Jacksonville State @ Tarleton State 65–62 regular
2023-12-13 2024 Sterling College (KS) @ Tarleton State 47–85 non_d1
2023-12-06 2024 Hardin-Simmons @ Tarleton State 56–92 non_d1
2023-12-02 2024 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State 75–77 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Tarleton State @ Stephen F. Austin 68–66 regular
2023-11-22 2024 Tarleton State @ Cal State Bakersfield N 59–40 regular
2023-11-20 2024 Tarleton State @ Austin Peay N 66–59 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Tarleton State @ Bradley 63–86 regular
2023-11-12 2024 UNT Dallas @ Tarleton State 52–93 non_d1
2023-11-10 2024 Tarleton State @ Florida International 82–65 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Tarleton State @ Virginia 50–80 regular