cbb·system

Chicago State Cougars

mens UAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.67 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chicago State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.57 to 0.26 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022725 0.219

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdChicago State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-09 2022 Chicago State @ Utah Valley N 47–69 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Chicago State @ Seattle U 66–74 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Chicago State @ California Baptist 53–62 regular
2022-02-26 2022 New Mexico State @ Chicago State 59–61 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Grand Canyon @ Chicago State 85–64 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Tarleton State @ Chicago State 79–60 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Chicago State @ Stephen F. Austin 71–88 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Sam Houston @ Chicago State 72–59 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Stephen F. Austin @ Chicago State 81–61 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Chicago State @ Tarleton State 54–57 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Chicago State @ Abilene Christian 73–77 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Utah Tech @ Chicago State 79–65 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Utah Valley @ Chicago State 101–87 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Chicago State @ Lamar 67–56 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 63–85 regular
2022-01-08 2022 California Baptist @ Chicago State 56–58 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Seattle U @ Chicago State 93–77 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Chicago State @ New Mexico State 61–78 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Chicago State @ Grand Canyon 63–80 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Chicago State @ Drake 50–87 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Chicago State @ Iowa State 48–79 regular
2021-12-17 2022 Chicago State @ IU Indianapolis 61–55 regular
2021-12-13 2022 Northern Illinois @ Chicago State 70–59 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Illinois State @ Chicago State 81–71 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Tennessee State @ Chicago State 49–59 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Chicago State @ Loyola Maryland 64–78 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Chicago State @ Bowling Green 57–75 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Chicago State @ Pacific 58–74 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Chicago State @ UC Santa Barbara 50–81 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago 56–92 regular
2021-11-13 2022 SIU Edwardsville @ Chicago State 56–67 regular
2021-11-10 2022 St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Chicago State 72–77 regular