cbb·system

Buffalo Bulls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Final Four (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.23 points per possession 0.19
PACE 74.97 possessions per game 4.58

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Buffalo AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.24 to 0.62 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018296 0.829

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBuffalo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-24 2018 Buffalo @ South Carolina N 63–79 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-19 2018 Buffalo @ Florida State N 86–65 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-17 2018 Buffalo @ South Florida N 102–79 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-10 2018 Buffalo @ Central Michigan N 91–96 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Western Michigan @ Buffalo N 53–85 conf_tournament
2018-03-07 2018 Kent State @ Buffalo N 50–72 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 38–74 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Buffalo @ Kent State 81–51 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Ohio @ Buffalo 53–70 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 88–67 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Akron @ Buffalo 71–85 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Central Michigan @ Buffalo 82–85 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Buffalo @ Miami (OH) 64–49 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Kent State @ Buffalo 42–80 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Buffalo @ Toledo 84–73 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Buffalo @ Central Michigan 79–86 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 92–97 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Toledo @ Buffalo 69–87 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Buffalo @ Ohio 67–63 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Buffalo @ Ball State 84–80 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo 67–72 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 84–86 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Western Michigan @ Buffalo 49–71 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Buffalo @ Akron 89–66 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Buffalo @ St. John's 73–72 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Buffalo @ Niagara 62–75 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure 76–59 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Buffalo @ Columbia 65–63 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Canisius @ Buffalo 47–73 regular
2017-12-03 2018 UNLV @ Buffalo 53–80 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Buffalo @ Arizona State 57–76 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Buffalo @ Clemson N 61–41 regular
2017-11-23 2018 Nebraska @ Buffalo N 72–82 regular
2017-11-14 2018 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Buffalo 41–76 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Delaware @ Buffalo 73–87 regular