cbb·system

Buffalo Bulls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.17
PACE 82.19 possessions per game 4.00

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Buffalo AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.43 to 0.43 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBuffalo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-19 2015 Buffalo @ West Virginia 61–84 other_postseason
2015-03-13 2015 Buffalo @ Ohio N 55–63 conf_tournament
2015-03-12 2015 Western Michigan @ Buffalo N 60–63 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Buffalo @ Kent State 68–58 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 55–47 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Akron @ Buffalo 80–87 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Buffalo @ Ohio 70–78 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo 78–68 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Kent State @ Buffalo 57–59 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 54–44 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Buffalo @ Akron 70–81 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 45–66 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Toledo @ Buffalo 61–68 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan 75–53 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 43–47 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Buffalo @ Toledo 63–75 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Ball State @ Buffalo 43–53 regular
2015-01-14 2015 Western Michigan @ Buffalo 62–59 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Buffalo @ Miami (OH) 71–51 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Buffalo @ Central Michigan 58–66 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Ohio @ Buffalo 61–50 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Buffalo @ Canisius 72–55 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Buffalo @ LIU Brooklyn 73–79 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Buffalo @ Manhattan 68–58 regular
2014-12-16 2015 St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo 44–51 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Buffalo @ Cornell 65–58 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Buffalo @ Illinois State N 68–60 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Tulsa @ Buffalo N 87–77 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Buffalo @ Duke 54–88 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Niagara @ Buffalo 64–73 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Buffalo @ Saint Francis 88–80 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Siena @ Buffalo 58–50 regular