Air Force Falcons
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2019
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.80 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | -0.08 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 72.02 | possessions per game | 4.70 |
At season 2019's latest cutoff
(2019-04-07 22:00),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019.
Axis spans -1.29 to 1.54 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2019
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 8 | 22 | 0.267 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-10 | 2019 | Air Force @ San Diego State N | 55–63 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-08 | 2019 | Boise State @ Air Force | 80–60 | regular |
| 2019-03-05 | 2019 | Air Force @ Nevada | 54–79 | regular |
| 2019-03-02 | 2019 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 59–56 | regular |
| 2019-02-23 | 2019 | Air Force @ San José State | 60–73 | regular |
| 2019-02-21 | 2019 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 77–70 | regular |
| 2019-02-16 | 2019 | Air Force @ Utah State | 55–64 | regular |
| 2019-02-14 | 2019 | UNLV @ Air Force | 62–47 | regular |
| 2019-02-07 | 2019 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 60–80 | regular |
| 2019-02-02 | 2019 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 48–55 | regular |
| 2019-01-31 | 2019 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 66–75 | regular |
| 2019-01-26 | 2019 | San José State @ Air Force | 77–88 | regular |
| 2019-01-24 | 2019 | Air Force @ Boise State | 48–79 | regular |
| 2019-01-19 | 2019 | Nevada @ Air Force | 74–79 | regular |
| 2019-01-16 | 2019 | Air Force @ UNLV | 56–66 | regular |
| 2019-01-12 | 2019 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 61–70 | regular |
| 2019-01-10 | 2019 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 48–63 | regular |
| 2019-01-05 | 2019 | Utah State @ Air Force | 48–44 | regular |
| 2019-01-03 | 2019 | Air Force @ New Mexico | 57–78 | regular |
| 2018-12-20 | 2019 | Air Force @ Oregon | 36–82 | regular |
| 2018-12-19 | 2019 | Air Force @ Portland | 60–79 | regular |
| 2018-12-07 | 2019 | Navy @ Air Force | 54–47 | regular |
| 2018-12-02 | 2019 | Air Force @ Minnesota | 50–67 | regular |
| 2018-11-29 | 2019 | Northern Colorado @ Air Force | 57–69 | regular |
| 2018-11-24 | 2019 | Air Force @ Northeastern | 41–54 | regular |
| 2018-11-21 | 2019 | Air Force @ Army | 71–60 | regular |
| 2018-11-17 | 2019 | Fairleigh Dickinson @ Air Force | 37–85 | regular |
| 2018-11-11 | 2019 | Air Force @ Denver | 66–92 | regular |
| 2018-11-09 | 2019 | George Mason @ Air Force | 78–71 | regular |
| 2018-11-07 | 2019 | Western Colorado @ Air Force | 54–72 | non_d1 |