cbb·system

Belmont Bruins

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.44 possessions per game 4.24

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Belmont AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.40 to 0.43 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBelmont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 Indiana State @ Belmont N 94–91 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Belmont @ Northern Iowa 83–75 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Indiana State @ Belmont 88–89 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Belmont @ Drake 56–70 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Evansville @ Belmont 63–95 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UIC @ Belmont 71–98 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Belmont @ Missouri State 59–61 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Illinois State @ Belmont 75–90 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Belmont @ Murray State 82–83 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Drake @ Belmont 79–61 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Belmont @ Evansville 73–64 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Belmont @ Bradley 78–76 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Murray State @ Belmont 65–80 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Northern Iowa @ Belmont 72–76 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Belmont @ Valparaiso 74–59 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Missouri State @ Belmont 61–74 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Belmont @ UIC 77–71 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Belmont @ Southern Illinois 45–63 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Bradley @ Belmont 60–63 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Samford @ Belmont 56–79 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Belmont @ Chattanooga 83–79 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Belmont 85–75 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Trevecca Nazarene @ Belmont 53–83 non_d1
2022-12-04 2023 Belmont @ Illinois State 77–87 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Valparaiso @ Belmont 64–76 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Belmont @ Georgia State 68–66 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Howard @ Belmont N 73–96 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Belmont @ George Mason N 66–62 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Tarleton State @ Belmont N 89–81 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Belmont @ Lipscomb 75–77 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Belmont @ Furman 74–89 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Ohio @ Belmont 69–70 regular