cbb·system

Providence Friars

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.32 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.25 to 0.55 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242114 0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-19 2024 Boston College @ Providence 62–57 nit
2024-03-16 2024 Providence @ Marquette N 68–79 conf_tournament
2024-03-14 2024 Providence @ Creighton N 78–73 conf_tournament
2024-03-13 2024 Georgetown @ Providence N 56–74 conf_tournament
2024-03-10 2024 UConn @ Providence 74–60 regular
2024-03-06 2024 Providence @ Georgetown 71–58 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Villanova @ Providence 71–60 regular
2024-02-29 2024 Providence @ Marquette 69–91 regular
2024-02-22 2024 Providence @ Xavier 79–75 regular
2024-02-18 2024 DePaul @ Providence 70–81 regular
2024-02-14 2024 St. John's @ Providence 72–75 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Providence @ Butler 72–75 regular
2024-02-08 2024 Creighton @ Providence 87–91 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Providence @ Villanova 50–68 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Providence @ UConn 65–74 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Georgetown @ Providence 76–84 regular
2024-01-24 2024 Providence @ Seton Hall 67–63 regular
2024-01-18 2024 Providence @ DePaul 100–62 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Xavier @ Providence 85–65 regular
2024-01-10 2024 Providence @ St. John's 73–75 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Providence @ Creighton 60–69 regular
2024-01-03 2024 Seton Hall @ Providence 61–57 regular
2023-12-23 2024 Butler @ Providence 75–85 regular
2023-12-20 2024 Marquette @ Providence 57–72 regular
2023-12-16 2024 Sacred Heart @ Providence 64–78 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Brown @ Providence 54–74 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Providence @ Oklahoma 51–72 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Rhode Island @ Providence 69–84 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Wagner @ Providence 52–86 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Lehigh @ Providence 64–78 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Providence @ Georgia N 71–64 regular
2023-11-17 2024 Providence @ Kansas State N 70–73 regular
2023-11-14 2024 Wisconsin @ Providence 59–72 regular
2023-11-11 2024 Milwaukee @ Providence 69–79 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Columbia @ Providence 59–78 regular