cbb·system

Sacramento State Hornets

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.77 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Sacramento State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.59 to 0.33 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025725 0.219

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSacramento State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-09 2025 Sacramento State @ Weber State N 70–83 conf_tournament
2025-03-04 2025 Sacramento State @ Portland State 56–59 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Montana State @ Sacramento State 87–60 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Montana @ Sacramento State 60–54 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Sacramento State @ Idaho State 66–83 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Sacramento State @ Weber State 80–77 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State 65–61 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 77–61 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Sacramento State @ Idaho 76–78 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington 80–83 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Sacramento State @ Montana 59–87 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Sacramento State @ Montana State 58–70 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Weber State @ Sacramento State 87–81 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Idaho State @ Sacramento State 71–75 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 64–68 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona 53–77 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State 65–54 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Idaho @ Sacramento State 80–67 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Portland State @ Sacramento State 53–56 regular
2024-12-30 2025 Bethesda University @ Sacramento State 38–78 non_d1
2024-12-22 2025 Stanislaus State @ Sacramento State 47–98 non_d1
2024-12-18 2025 Sacramento State @ Oregon State 45–82 regular
2024-12-15 2025 UC Davis @ Sacramento State 69–62 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Omaha @ Sacramento State 70–60 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Sacramento State @ Denver 59–80 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Mercyhurst @ Sacramento State 66–60 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Sacramento State @ Air Force 63–61 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Sacramento State @ California 77–83 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Cal State Northridge @ Sacramento State 79–69 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Sacramento State @ UC San Diego 54–64 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Sacramento State @ Fresno State 57–64 regular
2024-11-06 2025 Cal Maritime @ Sacramento State 44–106 non_d1