Dayton Flyers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Elite 8 (out) 2015
Ratings · 2015
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.85 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.14 | points per possession | 0.17 |
| PACE | 75.24 | possessions per game | 4.30 |
At season 2015's latest cutoff
(2015-03-10 01:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015.
Axis spans 65.56 to 87.61 over
91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2015
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | 7 | 0.800 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-30 | 2015 | Dayton @ UConn N | 70–91 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-28 | 2015 | Dayton @ Louisville N | 82–66 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-22 | 2015 | Dayton @ Kentucky N | 99–94 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-20 | 2015 | Iowa State @ Dayton N | 66–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-08 | 2015 | Dayton @ George Washington N | 62–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2015-03-07 | 2015 | Duquesne @ Dayton N | 60–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2015-03-06 | 2015 | Saint Joseph's @ Dayton N | 61–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2015-03-01 | 2015 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 95–68 | regular |
| 2015-02-27 | 2015 | Massachusetts @ Dayton | 60–69 | regular |
| 2015-02-22 | 2015 | La Salle @ Dayton | 49–91 | regular |
| 2015-02-19 | 2015 | Dayton @ Fordham | 59–45 | regular |
| 2015-02-15 | 2015 | Saint Joseph's @ Dayton | 64–82 | regular |
| 2015-02-12 | 2015 | Richmond @ Dayton | 41–79 | regular |
| 2015-02-08 | 2015 | Dayton @ George Washington | 56–67 | regular |
| 2015-02-06 | 2015 | Dayton @ George Mason | 84–73 | regular |
| 2015-01-31 | 2015 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 72–87 | regular |
| 2015-01-28 | 2015 | Dayton @ Richmond | 76–62 | regular |
| 2015-01-24 | 2015 | Dayton @ VCU | 75–56 | regular |
| 2015-01-22 | 2015 | Rhode Island @ Dayton | 33–77 | regular |
| 2015-01-18 | 2015 | Dayton @ St. Bonaventure | 86–70 | regular |
| 2015-01-11 | 2015 | Duquesne @ Dayton | 67–78 | regular |
| 2015-01-07 | 2015 | Dayton @ Davidson | 67–51 | regular |
| 2015-01-04 | 2015 | George Washington @ Dayton | 69–66 | regular |
| 2014-12-31 | 2015 | Dayton @ Central Michigan | 98–89 | regular |
| 2014-12-28 | 2015 | Green Bay @ Dayton | 66–72 | regular |
| 2014-12-21 | 2015 | Dayton @ Vanderbilt | 71–67 | regular |
| 2014-12-13 | 2015 | Central Michigan @ Dayton | 76–86 | regular |
| 2014-12-10 | 2015 | Toledo @ Dayton | 57–79 | regular |
| 2014-12-07 | 2015 | Purdue @ Dayton | 61–63 | regular |
| 2014-12-04 | 2015 | Dayton @ Wright State | 79–76 | regular |
| 2014-11-27 | 2015 | Providence @ Dayton | 56–72 | regular |
| 2014-11-23 | 2015 | Dayton @ Iowa | 83–90 | regular |
| 2014-11-21 | 2015 | Dayton @ UT Martin N | 78–47 | regular |
| 2014-11-16 | 2015 | Dayton @ Gonzaga | 65–75 | regular |
| 2014-11-15 | 2015 | Dayton @ Washington State | 60–76 | regular |