cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

mens American canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.02 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.42 to 0.55 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232313 0.639

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-23 2023 Cincinnati @ Utah Valley 68–74 nit
2023-03-18 2023 Cincinnati @ Hofstra 79–65 nit
2023-03-16 2023 Virginia Tech @ Cincinnati 72–81 nit
2023-03-11 2023 Cincinnati @ Houston N 48–69 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Temple @ Cincinnati N 54–84 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 SMU @ Cincinnati 74–97 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Cincinnati @ Memphis 73–76 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Temple @ Cincinnati 83–88 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Cincinnati @ UCF 73–71 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Cincinnati @ East Carolina 71–75 regular
2023-02-12 2023 South Florida @ Cincinnati 65–84 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Cincinnati @ Tulane 94–101 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UCF @ Cincinnati 64–73 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Tulsa @ Cincinnati 55–81 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Cincinnati @ Houston 69–75 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Memphis @ Cincinnati 75–68 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Cincinnati @ South Florida 85–69 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Cincinnati @ SMU 54–52 regular
2023-01-12 2023 East Carolina @ Cincinnati 55–83 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Houston @ Cincinnati 72–59 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Cincinnati @ Wichita State 70–61 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Cincinnati @ Temple 61–70 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Tulane @ Cincinnati 77–88 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Detroit Mercy @ Cincinnati 54–72 regular
2022-12-17 2023 La Salle @ Cincinnati 60–78 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati 76–103 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Xavier @ Cincinnati 80–77 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Bryant @ Cincinnati 71–97 regular
2022-12-01 2023 NJIT @ Cincinnati 60–86 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Louisville @ Cincinnati N 62–81 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Ohio State @ Cincinnati N 81–53 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Cincinnati @ Arizona N 93–101 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Cincinnati @ Northern Kentucky 51–64 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati 69–87 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Cleveland State @ Cincinnati 58–69 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Chaminade @ Cincinnati 55–98 non_d1