cbb·system

Ball State Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.75 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Ball State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.32 to 0.49 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20202110 0.677

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBall State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-11 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Ball State N 64–63 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Ball State @ Western Michigan 64–63 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 62–70 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Central Michigan @ Ball State 62–67 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Toledo @ Ball State 60–66 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Ball State @ Eastern Michigan 58–61 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 89–97 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Ball State @ Buffalo 69–58 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Ball State @ Toledo 60–58 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Akron @ Ball State 52–60 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Western Michigan @ Ball State 65–68 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Ball State @ Kent State 68–69 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Miami (OH) @ Ball State 63–80 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Buffalo @ Ball State 65–69 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Ball State @ Ohio 71–79 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Ball State @ Central Michigan 39–66 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Ball State 54–59 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Ball State @ Bowling Green 86–80 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Kent State @ Ball State 62–66 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Urbana @ Ball State 49–84 non_d1
2019-12-21 2020 Ball State @ New Mexico 70–57 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Ball State @ Providence N 52–51 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Ball State @ Loyola Marymount N 77–72 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Western Kentucky @ Ball State 91–86 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Ball State @ Wisconsin N 56–67 regular
2019-11-28 2020 Lehigh @ Ball State N 52–54 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Butler @ Ball State 70–74 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Xavier @ Ball State 49–70 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Ball State @ Cincinnati 56–63 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Ball State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 83–52 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Ball State @ IU Indianapolis 48–65 regular