Duke Blue Devils
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Final Four (out) 2018
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.78 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.33 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.63 | possessions per game | 5.02 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans -0.07 to 0.72 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | 9 | 0.727 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-24 | 2018 | Duke @ UConn N | 59–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2018-03-19 | 2018 | Duke @ Georgia N | 66–40 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2018-03-17 | 2018 | Belmont @ Duke N | 58–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2018-03-02 | 2018 | NC State @ Duke N | 51–45 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-02-25 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Duke | 54–70 | regular |
| 2018-02-19 | 2018 | Florida State @ Duke | 66–79 | regular |
| 2018-02-16 | 2018 | Duke @ Syracuse | 65–68 | regular |
| 2018-02-11 | 2018 | Duke @ Clemson | 60–35 | regular |
| 2018-02-08 | 2018 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 51–59 | regular |
| 2018-02-04 | 2018 | Notre Dame @ Duke | 72–54 | regular |
| 2018-02-02 | 2018 | Georgia Tech @ Duke | 59–77 | regular |
| 2018-01-28 | 2018 | Duke @ Pittsburgh | 58–46 | regular |
| 2018-01-26 | 2018 | Boston College @ Duke | 50–75 | regular |
| 2018-01-21 | 2018 | Duke @ North Carolina | 86–92 | regular |
| 2018-01-19 | 2018 | Duke @ Virginia Tech | 86–75 | regular |
| 2018-01-14 | 2018 | Virginia @ Duke | 48–55 | regular |
| 2018-01-12 | 2018 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 80–67 | regular |
| 2018-01-07 | 2018 | NC State @ Duke | 56–69 | regular |
| 2018-01-05 | 2018 | Duke @ Louisville | 60–66 | regular |
| 2017-12-31 | 2018 | Duke @ Miami | 48–51 | regular |
| 2017-12-30 | 2018 | Liberty @ Duke | 51–68 | regular |
| 2017-12-22 | 2018 | Wyoming @ Duke | 40–63 | regular |
| 2017-12-20 | 2018 | Maine @ Duke | 39–69 | regular |
| 2017-12-10 | 2018 | Winthrop @ Duke | 30–101 | regular |
| 2017-12-08 | 2018 | UNC Greensboro @ Duke | 54–85 | regular |
| 2017-12-03 | 2018 | Duke @ South Carolina | 52–72 | regular |
| 2017-12-01 | 2018 | Ohio State @ Duke | 60–69 | regular |
| 2017-11-26 | 2018 | Presbyterian @ Duke | 45–79 | regular |
| 2017-11-25 | 2018 | Oregon State @ Duke | 65–72 | regular |
| 2017-11-23 | 2018 | Duke @ Old Dominion | 84–51 | regular |
| 2017-11-19 | 2018 | Duke @ Villanova | 55–64 | regular |
| 2017-11-17 | 2018 | High Point @ Duke | 50–77 | regular |
| 2017-11-12 | 2018 | Duke @ Grand Canyon | 74–61 | regular |