cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.63 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.40 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.68 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Duke AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.02 to 0.89 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023267 0.788

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-21 2023 Colorado @ Duke 61–53 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-19 2023 Iona @ Duke 49–89 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Virginia Tech @ Duke N 58–37 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 North Carolina @ Duke N 40–44 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 North Carolina @ Duke 45–41 regular
2023-02-24 2023 NC State @ Duke 62–77 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Duke @ Virginia 56–52 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Duke @ Virginia Tech 45–61 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Miami @ Duke 40–50 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Duke @ Boston College 68–27 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Duke @ Notre Dame 57–52 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Pittsburgh @ Duke 44–53 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Duke @ Florida State 57–70 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Virginia Tech @ Duke 55–66 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Syracuse @ Duke 50–62 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Duke @ North Carolina 56–61 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Duke @ Georgia Tech 65–47 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Clemson @ Duke 56–66 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Duke @ Wake Forest 60–50 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Louisville @ Duke 56–63 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Duke @ NC State 72–58 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Virginia @ Duke 56–70 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Duke @ Florida Gulf Coast 71–48 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Austin Peay @ Duke 31–74 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Duke @ Richmond 100–49 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Northwestern @ Duke 50–66 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Duke @ Oregon State N 54–41 regular
2022-11-25 2023 UConn @ Duke N 78–50 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Duke @ Toledo 58–41 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Texas A&M @ Duke 52–71 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Duke @ Davidson 60–37 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Charleston Southern @ Duke 50–111 regular
2022-11-07 2023 North Carolina A&T @ Duke 57–77 regular