cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.78 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.94 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Duke AdjME across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.21 to 0.66 over 54 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201812 0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Boston College @ Duke N 84–77 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Duke @ North Carolina 73–54 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Duke @ Virginia Tech 56–70 regular
2020-02-25 2020 Duke @ NC State 70–65 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Virginia @ Duke 47–62 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Florida State @ Duke 64–66 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Duke @ Pittsburgh 73–56 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Duke @ Miami 74–55 regular
2020-02-06 2020 North Carolina @ Duke 61–71 regular
2020-02-02 2020 NC State @ Duke 63–60 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Georgia Tech @ Duke 46–58 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Duke @ Syracuse 88–58 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Duke @ Clemson 58–62 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Notre Dame @ Duke 47–50 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Virginia Tech @ Duke 67–72 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Duke @ Virginia 63–66 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Duke @ Louisville 55–60 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Wake Forest @ Duke 60–58 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Duke @ Florida Gulf Coast 56–78 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Duke @ South Carolina 46–89 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Boston College @ Duke 73–85 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Duke @ Nebraska 79–83 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Pennsylvania @ Duke 50–66 regular
2019-11-28 2020 Davidson @ Duke 52–82 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Troy @ Duke 85–99 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Idaho State @ Duke 66–85 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Northwestern @ Duke 63–42 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Duke @ UNLV 57–45 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Duke @ Texas A&M 58–79 regular
2019-11-06 2020 High Point @ Duke 57–93 regular