cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Elite 8 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.16 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.68 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.48 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.57 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Duke AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.06 to 0.86 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026279 0.750

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-29 2026 Duke @ UCLA N 58–70 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-28 2026 Duke @ LSU N 87–85 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-22 2026 Baylor @ Duke 46–69 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-20 2026 Charleston @ Duke 64–81 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 Louisville @ Duke N 65–70 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Notre Dame @ Duke N 63–65 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Clemson @ Duke N 46–60 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 Duke @ North Carolina 69–74 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Florida State @ Duke 52–80 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Duke @ Clemson 51–53 regular
2026-02-20 2026 NC State @ Duke 65–83 regular
2026-02-15 2026 North Carolina @ Duke 68–72 regular
2026-02-08 2026 SMU @ Duke 36–95 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Duke @ Louisville 59–58 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Wake Forest @ Duke 44–80 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Duke @ Miami 74–58 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Duke @ Pittsburgh 95–41 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Georgia Tech @ Duke 46–93 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Virginia @ Duke 58–65 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Duke @ Stanford 67–60 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Duke @ California 78–74 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Notre Dame @ Duke 68–82 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Boston College @ Duke 49–100 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Duke @ Syracuse 71–51 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Duke @ Belmont 76–46 regular
2025-12-19 2026 South Dakota State @ Duke 54–97 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Duke @ Virginia Tech 70–54 regular
2025-12-05 2026 LSU @ Duke 93–77 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Duke @ UCLA N 59–89 regular
2025-11-26 2026 South Carolina @ Duke N 83–66 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Duke @ South Florida 72–85 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Duke @ Liberty 71–57 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Duke @ West Virginia N 49–57 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Norfolk State @ Duke 32–83 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Holy Cross @ Duke 48–91 regular
2025-11-03 2026 Duke @ Baylor N 52–58 regular