cbb·system

Providence Friars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.05 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.15 to 1.64 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191916 0.543

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-26 2019 Georgetown @ Providence 53–46 other_postseason
2019-03-24 2019 Pennsylvania @ Providence 54–64 other_postseason
2019-03-21 2019 Hartford @ Providence 54–71 other_postseason
2019-03-10 2019 Providence @ DePaul 60–85 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Xavier @ Providence N 62–70 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Marquette @ Providence 80–57 regular
2019-03-02 2019 DePaul @ Providence 76–61 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Creighton @ Providence 73–64 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Providence @ Butler 66–63 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Providence @ Xavier 63–55 regular
2019-02-10 2019 St. John's @ Providence 60–57 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Seton Hall @ Providence 75–82 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Providence @ Georgetown 56–61 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Providence @ Villanova 33–53 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Providence @ Creighton 77–63 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Xavier @ Providence 58–71 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Butler @ Providence 68–74 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Providence @ Seton Hall 73–79 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Providence @ St. John's 67–66 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Villanova @ Providence 61–67 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Georgetown @ Providence 68–52 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Providence @ DePaul 62–88 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Providence @ Marquette 46–85 regular
2018-12-21 2019 La Salle @ Providence 47–77 regular
2018-12-20 2019 Northern Kentucky @ Providence 43–48 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Pepperdine @ Providence 47–66 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Northeastern @ Providence 65–59 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Providence @ UMass Lowell 71–47 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Bryant @ Providence N 64–72 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Providence @ Rhode Island 65–72 regular
2018-11-30 2019 Yale @ Providence 42–59 regular
2018-11-28 2019 Providence @ Boston College 61–57 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Sacred Heart @ Providence 52–62 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Quinnipiac @ Providence 48–44 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Providence @ Penn State 72–74 regular