cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.63 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.34 to 0.47 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-19 2025 Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee 109–103 nit
2025-03-14 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State N 68–70 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee N 75–77 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 56–78 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Liberty @ Middle Tennessee 86–81 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Middle Tennessee @ UTEP 76–75 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State 71–66 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Sam Houston @ Middle Tennessee 70–74 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee 85–74 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 87–77 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw State 76–75 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State 63–77 regular
2025-02-01 2025 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee 68–71 regular
2025-01-31 2025 New Mexico State @ Middle Tennessee 61–57 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech 69–75 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston 77–75 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 57–71 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee 64–81 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee 79–84 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Liberty 63–73 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 73–69 regular
2024-12-24 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Tennessee 64–82 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Lipscomb @ Middle Tennessee 65–67 regular
2024-12-17 2025 California Baptist @ Middle Tennessee 64–75 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Belmont 79–82 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Rhodes @ Middle Tennessee 55–103 non_d1
2024-12-01 2025 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 76–69 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Bradley N 69–80 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Middle Tennessee @ South Florida N 95–88 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Ohio @ Middle Tennessee N 81–83 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Murray State @ Middle Tennessee 88–67 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Evansville @ Middle Tennessee 63–80 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Abilene Christian 79–56 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Oglethorpe @ Middle Tennessee 51–97 non_d1