North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Sweet 16 (out) 2022
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.68 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.44 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 70.63 | possessions per game | 4.28 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-04 00:00),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 0.01 to 0.96 over
124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | 7 | 0.781 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-25 | 2022 | North Carolina @ South Carolina N | 61–69 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-22 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Arizona | 63–45 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-19 | 2022 | Stephen F. Austin @ North Carolina N | 66–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina N | 87–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-02-27 | 2022 | Duke @ North Carolina | 46–74 | regular |
| 2022-02-25 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 68–57 | regular |
| 2022-02-20 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 64–49 | regular |
| 2022-02-17 | 2022 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 65–66 | regular |
| 2022-02-13 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 61–66 | regular |
| 2022-02-10 | 2022 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 54–64 | regular |
| 2022-02-06 | 2022 | Miami @ North Carolina | 38–85 | regular |
| 2022-02-04 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Wake Forest | 78–59 | regular |
| 2022-01-30 | 2022 | NC State @ North Carolina | 66–58 | regular |
| 2022-01-28 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Duke | 78–62 | regular |
| 2022-01-23 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 38–55 | regular |
| 2022-01-20 | 2022 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 52–61 | regular |
| 2022-01-16 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame | 65–70 | regular |
| 2022-01-09 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 46–71 | regular |
| 2022-01-07 | 2022 | North Carolina @ NC State | 45–72 | regular |
| 2022-01-02 | 2022 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 62–81 | regular |
| 2021-12-30 | 2022 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 43–79 | regular |
| 2021-12-21 | 2022 | Alabama State @ North Carolina | 47–83 | regular |
| 2021-12-19 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Boston College | 76–73 | regular |
| 2021-12-15 | 2022 | Jacksonville @ North Carolina | canceled | regular |
| 2021-12-12 | 2022 | UNC Asheville @ North Carolina | 46–107 | regular |
| 2021-12-05 | 2022 | James Madison @ North Carolina | 47–93 | regular |
| 2021-12-02 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Minnesota | 82–76 | regular |
| 2021-11-27 | 2022 | Washington @ North Carolina N | 37–58 | regular |
| 2021-11-26 | 2022 | North Carolina @ VCU N | 72–59 | regular |
| 2021-11-21 | 2022 | North Carolina @ TCU | 79–46 | regular |
| 2021-11-17 | 2022 | App State @ North Carolina | 44–89 | regular |
| 2021-11-14 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Charlotte | 89–33 | regular |
| 2021-11-09 | 2022 | North Carolina A&T @ North Carolina | 47–92 | regular |