cbb·system

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

mens Summit canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.95 possessions per game 4.31

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.52 to 0.30 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231320 0.394

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorth Dakota auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-05 2023 North Dakota @ Oral Roberts N 80–96 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 North Dakota @ Denver N 83–68 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota 74–82 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Western Illinois @ North Dakota 81–70 regular
2023-02-19 2023 North Dakota @ Kansas City 81–73 regular
2023-02-17 2023 North Dakota @ Oral Roberts 70–73 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Omaha @ North Dakota 73–76 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Denver @ North Dakota 63–86 regular
2023-02-04 2023 North Dakota @ South Dakota 86–72 regular
2023-02-03 2023 North Dakota @ South Dakota State 73–96 regular
2023-01-28 2023 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 75–91 regular
2023-01-24 2023 North Dakota @ Western Illinois 80–92 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota 84–72 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Kansas City @ North Dakota 60–77 regular
2023-01-14 2023 North Dakota @ Denver 71–78 regular
2023-01-13 2023 North Dakota @ Omaha 63–69 regular
2023-01-07 2023 South Dakota State @ North Dakota 60–59 regular
2023-01-06 2023 South Dakota @ North Dakota 62–60 regular
2022-12-31 2023 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 71–49 regular
2022-12-21 2023 North Dakota @ Western Illinois scheduled regular
2022-12-20 2023 North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota 62–75 regular
2022-12-13 2023 North Central (MN) @ North Dakota 48–99 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Seattle U @ North Dakota 80–78 regular
2022-12-07 2023 North Dakota @ Idaho 66–76 regular
2022-12-04 2023 North Dakota @ Portland 69–90 regular
2022-12-01 2023 North Dakota @ Iowa State 44–63 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ North Dakota 57–73 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Utah Tech @ North Dakota 52–67 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Wisconsin-Stout @ North Dakota 61–92 non_d1
2022-11-20 2023 Montana State @ North Dakota 81–71 regular
2022-11-18 2023 North Dakota @ Elon 77–73 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Pacific @ North Dakota 93–63 regular
2022-11-11 2023 North Dakota @ Creighton 61–96 regular
2022-11-08 2023 North Dakota @ Incarnate Word 65–57 regular