cbb·system

Valparaiso Beacons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.98 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Valparaiso AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.39 to 0.44 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201712 0.586

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbValparaiso auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-14 2020 Valparaiso @ Bradley N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois 69–58 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Valparaiso @ Missouri State 70–85 regular
2020-03-01 2020 Drake @ Valparaiso 83–79 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso 69–72 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Valparaiso @ Loyola Chicago 70–57 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Valparaiso @ Illinois State 78–70 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Valparaiso @ Bradley 69–90 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Indiana State @ Valparaiso 45–61 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Evansville @ Valparaiso 54–72 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa 70–77 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Valparaiso @ Drake 66–87 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Loyola Chicago @ Valparaiso 64–66 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Bradley @ Valparaiso 75–61 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Illinois State @ Valparaiso 72–60 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Valparaiso @ Evansville 88–66 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Valparaiso @ Indiana State 75–56 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Missouri State @ Valparaiso 81–68 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso 67–51 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Valparaiso @ Eastern Illinois 78–66 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Chicago State @ Valparaiso 49–95 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Morehead State @ Valparaiso 53–55 regular
2019-12-15 2020 UIC @ Valparaiso 37–63 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Valparaiso @ Detroit Mercy 77–58 regular
2019-11-28 2020 Valparaiso @ Toledo 61–54 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Bowling Green @ Valparaiso 90–95 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Valparaiso @ Northwestern 48–69 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Valparaiso @ North Dakota 63–65 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Valparaiso @ North Dakota State 66–54 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Valparaiso @ Ohio State N 38–89 regular