Fresno State Bulldogs
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 63.05 | possessions per game | 4.54 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans -0.51 to 0.42 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 20 | 0.355 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Fresno State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-08 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Colorado State N | 65–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-05 | 2023 | Chicago State @ Fresno State | 72–108 | regular |
| 2023-03-01 | 2023 | Fresno State @ New Mexico | 80–94 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Nevada @ Fresno State | 60–56 | regular |
| 2023-02-22 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 74–69 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Colorado State @ Fresno State | 60–57 | regular |
| 2023-02-16 | 2023 | San Diego State @ Fresno State | 45–43 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Nevada | 66–77 | regular |
| 2023-02-08 | 2023 | San José State @ Fresno State | 62–70 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | Fresno State @ UNLV | 82–79 | regular |
| 2023-02-01 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Wyoming | 62–85 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | Utah State @ Fresno State | 70–53 | regular |
| 2023-01-25 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Boise State | 53–63 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | UNLV @ Fresno State | 63–76 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 51–48 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | Fresno State @ San José State | 64–74 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Colorado State | 57–79 | regular |
| 2023-01-04 | 2023 | New Mexico @ Fresno State | 67–71 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Utah State | 54–67 | regular |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023 | Wyoming @ Fresno State | 53–58 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield | 56–48 | regular |
| 2022-12-18 | 2023 | Sacramento State @ Fresno State | 59–53 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Pacific | 72–76 | regular |
| 2022-12-08 | 2023 | Cal State Northridge @ Fresno State | 56–65 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Fresno State @ UC Irvine | 80–66 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Vanderbilt N | 59–67 | regular |
| 2022-11-24 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Washington N | 57–62 | regular |
| 2022-11-19 | 2023 | Fresno State @ North Texas | 52–61 | regular |
| 2022-11-17 | 2023 | San Francisco @ Fresno State | 67–60 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Fresno State @ UC Santa Barbara N | 54–61 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Fresno Pacific @ Fresno State | 56–69 | non_d1 |