Fresno State Bulldogs
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.08 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 71.81 | possessions per game | 4.15 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans -0.48 to 0.31 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 26 | 0.188 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Fresno State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-12 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Nevada N | 71–86 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Fresno State @ San José State | 68–92 | regular |
| 2025-03-05 | 2025 | Wyoming @ Fresno State | 58–62 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Boise State @ Fresno State | 66–61 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 69–72 | regular |
| 2025-02-19 | 2025 | Fresno State @ San Diego State | 60–83 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | UNLV @ Fresno State | 52–51 | regular |
| 2025-02-11 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Nevada | 69–94 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Utah State @ Fresno State | 89–81 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | San José State @ Fresno State | 94–91 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Boise State | 60–82 | regular |
| 2025-01-29 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Wyoming | 72–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-26 | 2025 | Colorado State @ Fresno State | 69–64 | regular |
| 2025-01-20 | 2025 | Fresno State @ New Mexico | 67–95 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 65–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | Nevada @ Fresno State | 77–66 | regular |
| 2025-01-08 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Colorado State | 64–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Utah State | 83–89 | regular |
| 2025-01-01 | 2025 | New Mexico @ Fresno State | 103–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Fresno State @ UNLV | 77–87 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | California Baptist @ Fresno State | 86–69 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | San Diego @ Fresno State | 65–73 | regular |
| 2024-12-12 | 2025 | Fresno State @ BYU | 67–95 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Santa Clara | 66–81 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | San Diego State @ Fresno State | 84–62 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | California Baptist @ Fresno State N | 86–81 | regular |
| 2024-11-27 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Washington State N | 73–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Long Beach State | 72–69 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Prairie View A&M @ Fresno State | 83–94 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield | 56–74 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Fresno State @ UC Santa Barbara | 86–91 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Sacramento State @ Fresno State | 57–64 | regular |