cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb #14 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.21 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.36 to 0.48 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232510 0.714

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Montana State @ Kansas State N 65–77 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Northern Arizona @ Montana State N 78–85 conf_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Weber State @ Montana State N 58–60 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana State N 73–84 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Montana State @ Eastern Washington 79–74 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Portland State @ Montana State 78–91 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana State 56–60 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Montana @ Montana State 68–72 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Montana State @ Idaho State 58–52 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Montana State @ Weber State 63–73 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 62–75 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 68–69 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Montana State @ Sacramento State 72–65 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Montana State @ Portland State 75–66 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Montana State @ Montana 67–64 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Montana State @ Idaho 70–74 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Weber State @ Montana State 52–67 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Idaho State @ Montana State 68–81 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 69–54 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 77–56 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 70–67 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Idaho @ Montana State 58–72 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Montana State @ Arizona 64–85 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Northwest Indian @ Montana State 59–144 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Omaha @ Montana State 54–82 regular
2022-12-09 2023 St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Montana State 65–82 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Montana State @ Southern Utah 86–83 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Montana State @ Middle Tennessee N 71–72 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Quinnipiac @ Montana State N 70–53 regular
2022-11-25 2023 UNC Greensboro @ Montana State N 77–66 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Montana State @ North Dakota 81–71 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Warner Pacific @ Montana State 64–106 non_d1
2022-11-16 2023 Montana State @ Oregon 51–81 regular
2022-11-14 2023 Montana State @ Long Beach State 70–57 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Montana State @ Grand Canyon 54–60 regular