cbb·system

Chicago State Cougars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.52 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.45 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.60 possessions per game 4.35

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chicago State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.90 to -0.09 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015425 0.138

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbChicago State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-11 2015 Chicago State @ Cal State Bakersfield N 53–77 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 New Mexico State @ Chicago State 62–54 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Chicago State @ Utah Valley 53–68 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Chicago State @ Grand Canyon 49–73 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Seattle U @ Chicago State 56–49 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Cal State Bakersfield @ Chicago State 83–57 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Chicago State @ Kansas City 46–77 regular
2015-02-12 2015 IU Northwest @ Chicago State 56–78 non_d1
2015-02-07 2015 Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 57–66 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Chicago State @ New Mexico State 53–70 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Grand Canyon @ Chicago State 76–51 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Utah Valley @ Chicago State 55–60 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Chicago State @ Cal State Bakersfield 58–83 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Chicago State @ Seattle U 51–75 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Kansas City @ Chicago State 65–59 regular
2015-01-10 2015 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Chicago State 75–60 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Purdue Northwest @ Chicago State canceled non_d1
2015-01-04 2015 Chicago State @ NJIT 48–59 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Chicago State @ Wright State 40–81 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Chicago State @ Milwaukee 47–69 regular
2014-12-18 2015 Chicago State @ Bradley 62–59 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Chicago State @ UIC 44–70 regular
2014-12-13 2015 St. Josephs (IND) @ Chicago State 58–61 non_d1
2014-12-07 2015 DePaul @ Chicago State 87–34 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Chicago State 79–62 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Western Michigan @ Chicago State 73–43 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Jackson State @ Chicago State 70–60 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Chicago State @ Oakland 40–66 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Western Illinois @ Chicago State 90–55 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Northwestern @ Chicago State 102–48 regular