cbb·system

Chicago State Cougars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.68 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.41 points per possession 0.19
PACE 73.25 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chicago State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.65 to 1.18 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019228 0.067

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbChicago State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-13 2019 Chicago State @ New Mexico State N 54–90 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Chicago State @ Kansas City 50–100 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Chicago State @ New Mexico State 54–77 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 38–84 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Seattle U @ Chicago State 61–64 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Utah Valley @ Chicago State 70–65 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Chicago State @ Grand Canyon 49–84 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Chicago State @ Cal State Bakersfield 47–80 regular
2019-02-08 2019 California Baptist @ Chicago State 93–67 regular
2019-02-05 2019 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Chicago State 71–55 regular
2019-02-02 2019 New Mexico State @ Chicago State 87–66 regular
2019-02-01 2019 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Chicago State postponed regular
2019-01-26 2019 Chicago State @ Utah Valley 61–76 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Chicago State @ Seattle U 54–90 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Cal State Bakersfield @ Chicago State 67–56 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Grand Canyon @ Chicago State 48–50 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Chicago State @ California Baptist 52–89 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Kansas City @ Chicago State 111–58 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Brown @ Chicago State 90–65 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Chicago State @ Bradley 59–89 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Chicago State @ Northern Illinois 52–114 regular
2018-12-17 2019 Chicago State @ Northwestern 35–97 regular
2018-12-13 2019 Chicago State @ Wisconsin 38–85 regular
2018-12-08 2019 SIU Edwardsville @ Chicago State 82–66 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Valparaiso @ Chicago State 76–70 regular
2018-11-27 2019 Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago 40–76 regular
2018-11-20 2019 UAB @ Chicago State 90–45 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Chicago State @ Morehead State 68–104 regular
2018-11-16 2019 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Chicago State N 110–73 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Evansville @ Chicago State 67–58 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Chicago State @ Xavier 57–91 regular