cbb·system

Toledo Rockets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.35 possessions per game 5.03

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Toledo AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.31 to 1.59 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192112 0.636

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbToledo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 Northwestern @ Toledo 54–47 other_postseason
2019-03-21 2019 Seton Hall @ Toledo 65–71 other_postseason
2019-03-13 2019 Toledo @ Miami (OH) N 54–72 conf_tournament
2019-03-11 2019 Ball State @ Toledo 63–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Toledo @ Central Michigan 45–78 regular
2019-03-07 2019 Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 70–67 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 53–64 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Western Michigan @ Toledo 63–73 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Toledo @ Ball State 63–62 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Miami (OH) @ Toledo 65–56 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 52–54 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Ohio @ Toledo 50–76 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Eastern Michigan @ Toledo 43–63 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Toledo @ Buffalo 63–73 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Bowling Green @ Toledo 56–76 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Toledo @ Akron 64–70 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Central Michigan @ Toledo 59–62 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Toledo @ Bowling Green 79–65 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Toledo @ Western Michigan 80–57 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Kent State @ Toledo 58–47 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Toledo @ Miami (OH) 64–65 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Ball State @ Toledo 58–65 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Toledo 60–77 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Stony Brook @ Toledo 48–80 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Notre Dame @ Toledo 72–56 regular
2018-12-05 2019 Toledo @ Cleveland State 65–60 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Toledo @ Memphis 58–48 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Toledo @ Belmont 78–69 regular
2018-11-27 2019 Toledo @ Valparaiso 65–59 regular
2018-11-22 2019 Toledo @ Dayton 49–70 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Duquesne @ Toledo 52–65 regular
2018-11-14 2019 Iona @ Toledo 38–84 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Toledo @ Maine 59–73 regular