cbb·system

Nicholls Colonels

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.29 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nicholls AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.54 to 0.48 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNicholls auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-12 2024 Nicholls @ SE Louisiana N 57–75 conf_tournament
2024-03-11 2024 Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans N 73–66 conf_tournament
2024-03-07 2024 Nicholls @ SE Louisiana 62–68 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Nicholls @ McNeese 76–78 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Nicholls @ Northwestern State 47–55 regular
2024-02-24 2024 East Texas A&M @ Nicholls 77–89 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 52–47 regular
2024-02-17 2024 McNeese @ Nicholls 67–81 regular
2024-02-16 2024 Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans 78–80 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Nicholls @ Lamar 44–70 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls 67–70 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Houston Christian @ Nicholls 50–52 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Northwestern State @ Nicholls 57–60 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Nicholls @ East Texas A&M 67–71 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 52–58 regular
2024-01-19 2024 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 65–59 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Lamar @ Nicholls 52–49 regular
2024-01-12 2024 LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls 69–63 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Nicholls @ Houston Christian 73–55 regular
2024-01-05 2024 SE Louisiana @ Nicholls 66–56 regular
2023-12-20 2024 Nicholls @ Grambling 50–69 regular
2023-12-09 2024 UAB @ Nicholls 73–62 regular
2023-12-05 2024 Nicholls @ South Alabama 61–58 regular
2023-12-01 2024 Nicholls @ Alcorn State 46–54 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Dillard @ Nicholls 36–68 non_d1
2023-11-25 2024 Nicholls @ Grand Canyon 40–63 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Nicholls @ Eastern Illinois N 63–55 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Nicholls @ Louisiana 63–69 regular
2023-11-14 2024 Nicholls @ SMU 54–69 regular
2023-11-10 2024 Southern New Orleans @ Nicholls 52–94 non_d1
2023-11-09 2024 Nicholls @ Tulane 69–66 regular
2023-11-07 2024 North American @ Nicholls 65–82 non_d1