cbb·system

Arkansas Razorbacks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.17
PACE 65.00 possessions per game 4.81

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arkansas AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.17 to 0.65 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-22 2015 Arkansas @ Baylor N 44–73 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-20 2015 Arkansas @ Northwestern N 57–55 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-06 2015 Arkansas @ South Carolina N 36–58 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Arkansas @ Ole Miss N 72–61 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Arkansas @ Missouri 41–57 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Kentucky @ Arkansas 56–51 regular
2015-02-22 2015 LSU @ Arkansas 41–63 regular
2015-02-20 2015 South Carolina @ Arkansas 73–56 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Arkansas @ Auburn 54–36 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Arkansas @ Texas A&M 55–59 regular
2015-02-10 2015 Georgia @ Arkansas 48–54 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Arkansas @ Alabama 53–42 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Auburn @ Arkansas 47–52 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Arkansas @ Florida 58–72 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Arkansas @ Vanderbilt 53–55 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Missouri @ Arkansas 55–73 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Tennessee @ Arkansas 60–51 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Arkansas @ Mississippi State 57–72 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Texas A&M @ Arkansas 52–50 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Arkansas @ Ole Miss 57–71 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Grambling @ Arkansas 35–77 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Oklahoma @ Arkansas N 64–71 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Arkansas @ Tulsa 64–53 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Arkansas @ Missouri State 59–50 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Rutgers @ Arkansas 64–52 regular
2014-12-05 2015 South Dakota State @ Arkansas 80–75 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Richmond @ Arkansas N 55–74 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Arkansas @ Iowa N 77–67 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Northwestern State @ Arkansas 30–78 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Arkansas @ Middle Tennessee 58–51 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Savannah State @ Arkansas 46–75 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Nicholls @ Arkansas 52–63 regular