cbb·system

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.01 possessions per game 4.92

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern Utah AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.39 to 0.48 over 111 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouthern Utah auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-23 2014 Southern Utah @ Colorado 68–79 other_postseason
2014-03-21 2014 Southern Utah @ Colorado State 71–56 other_postseason
2014-03-15 2014 Montana @ Southern Utah N 73–69 conf_tournament
2014-03-13 2014 Sacramento State @ Southern Utah N 78–86 conf_tournament
2014-03-09 2014 Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah 48–63 regular
2014-03-07 2014 North Dakota @ Southern Utah 53–73 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Montana State @ Southern Utah 60–70 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Montana @ Southern Utah 49–69 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Southern Utah @ Portland State 86–79 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Southern Utah @ Eastern Washington 54–59 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Southern Utah @ Weber State 80–64 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Southern Utah @ Idaho State 70–66 regular
2014-02-11 2014 Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah 59–93 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Sacramento State @ Southern Utah 74–93 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Southern Utah @ Montana 73–81 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Southern Utah @ Montana State 87–81 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Eastern Washington @ Southern Utah 61–62 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Portland State @ Southern Utah 60–69 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Idaho State @ Southern Utah 69–65 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Weber State @ Southern Utah 64–76 regular
2014-01-14 2014 Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona 77–82 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Southern Utah @ Sacramento State 97–79 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Southern Utah @ North Dakota 68–71 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Southern Utah @ Colorado 59–75 regular
2013-12-20 2014 Southern Utah @ Northern Colorado 75–63 regular
2013-12-17 2014 Arizona Christian @ Southern Utah 44–101 non_d1
2013-11-30 2014 Southern Utah @ LIU Brooklyn 57–44 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Southern Utah @ Georgia Tech N 60–85 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Westminster (UT) @ Southern Utah 65–68 non_d1
2013-11-22 2014 Utah Valley @ Southern Utah 63–74 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Southern Utah @ Houston Christian 77–88 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Southern Utah @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74–67 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Southern Utah @ Boise State 90–86 regular