cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2016

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.17 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.22 points per possession 0.17
PACE 76.69 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2016's latest cutoff (2016-04-05 01:19), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (points per possession)
Maine AdjME across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average -0.00 (Apr 05)Jan 19, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 22, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 23, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 24, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 25, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 29, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2016 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.33 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 01, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 02, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 03, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 05, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 06, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 07, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 07, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 09, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 10, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 11, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 12, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 13, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 14, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 15, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 17, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 18, 2016 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 20, 2016 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 21, 2016 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 22, 2016 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 23, 2016 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 24, 2016 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 25, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 26, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 27, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 28, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedFeb 29, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 01, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 03, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 04, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 05, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 06, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 07, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 08, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 09, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 10, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 12, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 13, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 13, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 15, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 16, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 17, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 18, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 19, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 20, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 21, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 22, 2016 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 23, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 24, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 25, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 26, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 27, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 28, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 30, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 31, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 31, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 02, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 03, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 05, 2016 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 31 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2016
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 73 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2016. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2016

SeasonWLPct
2016822 0.267

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2016-03-03 2016 Maine @ Vermont 82–99 conf_tournament
2016-02-27 2016 Maine @ Binghamton 66–78 regular
2016-02-25 2016 Hartford @ Maine 82–74 regular
2016-02-21 2016 Stony Brook @ Maine 75–56 regular
2016-02-14 2016 Maine @ UAlbany 64–108 regular
2016-02-11 2016 UMass Lowell @ Maine 108–95 regular
2016-02-09 2016 Maine @ New Hampshire 75–88 regular
2016-02-06 2016 UMBC @ Maine N 83–79 regular
2016-02-04 2016 Maine @ Vermont 68–85 regular
2016-01-30 2016 Binghamton @ Maine 63–74 regular
2016-01-28 2016 Maine @ Hartford 105–100 regular
2016-01-26 2016 Maine @ Stony Brook 54–81 regular
2016-01-24 2016 Maine @ Stony Brook scheduled regular
2016-01-19 2016 New Hampshire @ Maine 99–91 regular
2016-01-15 2016 UAlbany @ Maine 79–81 regular
2016-01-13 2016 Maine @ UMass Lowell 95–81 regular
2016-01-09 2016 Maine @ UMBC 76–89 regular
2016-01-07 2016 Vermont @ Maine 90–72 regular
2016-01-02 2016 Brown @ Maine 92–98 regular
2015-12-30 2016 Quinnipiac @ Maine 95–98 regular
2015-12-22 2016 Maine @ Holy Cross 75–76 regular
2015-12-19 2016 Maine @ Fordham 53–70 regular
2015-12-13 2016 Maine @ Boston College 60–91 regular
2015-12-10 2016 Dartmouth @ Maine 79–69 regular
2015-12-05 2016 Maine @ Marquette 67–104 regular
2015-12-03 2016 Army @ Maine 84–71 regular
2015-11-29 2016 Maine @ Central Connecticut 81–74 regular
2015-11-25 2016 Longwood @ Maine 82–92 regular
2015-11-21 2016 Maine @ Wagner 73–87 regular
2015-11-20 2016 Maine @ Long Island University 79–84 regular
2015-11-14 2016 Maine @ UConn 56–100 regular