cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2017

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.13 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.22 points per possession 0.17
PACE 67.69 possessions per game 4.64

At season 2017's latest cutoff (2017-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjME (points per possession)
Maine AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibratedD-I average 0.00 (Apr 04)Dec 13, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 14, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 17, 2016 AdjME -0.15 ± 0.31 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 18, 2016 AdjME -0.15 ± 0.31 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 19, 2016 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.31 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 20, 2016 AdjME -0.15 ± 0.31 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 21, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 22, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 23, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 24, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 27, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 28, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.31 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 29, 2016 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.32 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 30, 2016 AdjME -0.13 ± 0.33 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 31, 2016 AdjME -0.13 ± 0.31 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 01, 2017 AdjME -0.13 ± 0.32 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 02, 2017 AdjME -0.13 ± 0.32 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 03, 2017 AdjME -0.14 ± 0.32 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 04, 2017 AdjME -0.15 ± 0.32 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 05, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.32 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 06, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.32 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 07, 2017 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.32 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 08, 2017 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.32 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 09, 2017 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.33 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 10, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.32 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 11, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.32 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 12, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.32 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 13, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.33 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 14, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.32 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 15, 2017 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.33 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 16, 2017 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.33 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 17, 2017 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 18, 2017 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 19, 2017 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2017 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 21, 2017 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 22, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 23, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 24, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 25, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.33 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 26, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 29, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 30, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 04, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 05, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 05, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 07, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 08, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 09, 2017 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 10, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 11, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 12, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 13, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 14, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 15, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 16, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 17, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 18, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 19, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 20, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 21, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 22, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 23, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 25, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 26, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 27, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 28, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 01, 2017 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 02, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 03, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 04, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 05, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 06, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 09, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 10, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 11, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 12, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 13, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 14, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 16, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 17, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 18, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 19, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 20, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 22, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 23, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 24, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 25, 2017 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 26, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 27, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 29, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 30, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 31, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 01, 2017 AdjME -0.23 ± 0.34 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 02, 2017 AdjME -0.23 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 04, 2017 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2017
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • warm-up gate (18 games)
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 101 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2017. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2017

SeasonWLPct
2017724 0.226

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2017-03-02 2017 Maine @ Vermont 41–86 conf_tournament
2017-02-25 2017 Maine @ Binghamton 72–71 regular
2017-02-19 2017 UAlbany @ Maine 74–56 regular
2017-02-16 2017 Maine @ New Hampshire 51–64 regular
2017-02-12 2017 Maine @ Stony Brook 66–67 regular
2017-02-10 2017 Maine @ UMass Lowell 68–100 regular
2017-02-07 2017 Hartford @ Maine 41–52 regular
2017-02-04 2017 UMBC @ Maine 83–71 regular
2017-02-02 2017 Maine @ Vermont 53–74 regular
2017-01-29 2017 Binghamton @ Maine 65–54 regular
2017-01-22 2017 Maine @ UAlbany 63–81 regular
2017-01-20 2017 New Hampshire @ Maine 74–63 regular
2017-01-16 2017 Maine @ Hartford 44–54 regular
2017-01-14 2017 Stony Brook @ Maine 74–54 regular
2017-01-12 2017 UMass Lowell @ Maine 71–73 regular
2017-01-08 2017 Maine @ UMBC 64–75 regular
2017-01-06 2017 Vermont @ Maine 90–77 regular
2017-01-02 2017 Columbia @ Maine 98–73 regular
2016-12-31 2017 Maine @ Buffalo 60–79 regular
2016-12-22 2017 Maine @ Brown 77–82 regular
2016-12-21 2017 Maine @ Providence 59–79 regular
2016-12-18 2017 Quinnipiac @ Maine 85–75 regular
2016-12-10 2017 Maine @ Dartmouth 73–68 regular
2016-12-07 2017 Holy Cross @ Maine 53–55 regular
2016-12-03 2017 Maine @ Duke 55–94 regular
2016-12-01 2017 Central Connecticut @ Maine 82–61 regular
2016-11-26 2017 Maine-Presque Isle @ Maine 45–96 non_d1
2016-11-20 2017 Northeastern @ Maine N 80–72 regular
2016-11-19 2017 Maine @ Boston University 78–102 regular
2016-11-13 2017 Maine @ Longwood 80–58 regular
2016-11-12 2017 Maine @ Virginia Tech 67–80 regular