cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.67 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 00:49), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (points per possession)
Maine AdjME across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 0.00 (Apr 07)Jan 17, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 18, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 19, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 21, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 22, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 23, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 27, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 29, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 30, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 31, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 01, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 02, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 03, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 03, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 05, 2019 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.36 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 07, 2019 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.36 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 08, 2019 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.36 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 09, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 10, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 11, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 12, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 13, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.37 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 14, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 15, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 16, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 17, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 18, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 20, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 21, 2019 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.36 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 22, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 23, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 24, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2019 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 26, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 27, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 28, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2019 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 02, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.37 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 03, 2019 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 06, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 09, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 10, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 12, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 13, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.37 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 16, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 17, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 17, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 18, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 20, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 21, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.37 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 22, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 23, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 24, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 25, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 26, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.38 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 27, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 28, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 29, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 30, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 31, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 31, 2019 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 01, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 03, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 04, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 04, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 05, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.37 (2σ) 31 games playedApr 07, 2019 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.37 (2σ) 31 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2019
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 77 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2019. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019427 0.129

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-10 2019 Maine @ Vermont 57–73 conf_tournament
2019-03-06 2019 Maine @ New Hampshire 53–60 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Binghamton @ Maine 83–60 regular
2019-02-28 2019 UMass Lowell @ Maine 70–61 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Maine @ Stony Brook 53–81 regular
2019-02-17 2019 UAlbany @ Maine 63–54 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Maine @ Hartford 73–81 regular
2019-02-10 2019 UMBC @ Maine 67–66 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Maine @ Vermont 63–86 regular
2019-02-03 2019 New Hampshire @ Maine 53–62 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Maine @ UMass Lowell 78–59 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Maine @ Binghamton 66–78 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Stony Brook @ Maine 64–61 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Hartford @ Maine 77–76 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Maine @ UAlbany 66–62 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Vermont @ Maine 73–49 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Maine @ UMBC 52–61 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Maine @ Brown 67–75 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Maine @ Rutgers 55–70 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Central Connecticut @ Maine 93–90 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Maine @ Duquesne 46–72 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Maine @ Dartmouth 52–78 regular
2018-12-05 2019 Fordham @ Maine 68–75 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Maine @ Saint Peter's 59–63 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Princeton @ Maine 73–59 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Maine @ Quinnipiac 50–58 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Maine @ North Texas 63–74 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Maine @ NC State 63–82 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Maine @ San Francisco 50–93 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Maine @ Utah 61–75 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Maine @ Denver 50–63 regular