cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.69 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-11 02:15), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (points per possession)
Maine AdjME across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 0.00 (Mar 11)Jan 20, 2020 AdjME -0.23 ± 0.35 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2020 AdjME -0.23 ± 0.34 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 22, 2020 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.34 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 23, 2020 AdjME -0.22 ± 0.35 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2020 AdjME -0.21 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 26, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 29, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 30, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 31, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 01, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 02, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 02, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 04, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 05, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 06, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 07, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 08, 2020 AdjME -0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 09, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 09, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 11, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 12, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 13, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 14, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 15, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 16, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 17, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 18, 2020 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 19, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 20, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 21, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 22, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 23, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 24, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 25, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 26, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 27, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 28, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 29, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedMar 01, 2020 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2020 AdjME -0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 03, 2020 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 04, 2020 AdjME -0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2020 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 06, 2020 AdjME -0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 07, 2020 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 08, 2020 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 09, 2020 AdjME -0.15 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 10, 2020 AdjME -0.15 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 11, 2020 AdjME -0.16 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2020
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 51 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2020. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020822 0.267

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 Maine @ Vermont 50–61 conf_tournament
2020-03-04 2020 Maine @ Hartford 71–65 regular
2020-02-29 2020 UMBC @ Maine 48–74 regular
2020-02-27 2020 New Hampshire @ Maine 77–70 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Maine @ Stony Brook 46–54 regular
2020-02-16 2020 UAlbany @ Maine 66–60 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Maine @ UMass Lowell 63–71 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Maine @ Binghamton 82–75 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Maine @ Vermont 52–77 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Hartford @ Maine 55–49 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Maine @ UMBC 53–63 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Vermont @ Maine 59–57 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Binghamton @ Maine 63–86 regular
2020-01-16 2020 UMass Lowell @ Maine 98–104 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Maine @ UAlbany 70–76 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Maine @ New Hampshire 51–57 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Stony Brook @ Maine 73–52 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Columbia @ Maine 72–75 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Maine @ Hawai'i 51–91 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Maine @ Massachusetts 53–74 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Quinnipiac @ Maine 81–61 regular
2019-12-12 2020 Dartmouth @ Maine 77–44 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Maine @ Central Connecticut 66–64 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Maine @ Northeastern 63–78 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Maine @ UConn 40–64 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Maine @ Virginia 26–46 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Maine @ Washington 53–72 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Maine @ Portland 62–71 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Maine @ Harvard 46–67 regular
2019-11-07 2020 Merrimack @ Maine 64–84 regular